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BB Hokie

Joined: 09/06/2010 Posts: 3161
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Your math here is off a bit...


First, you have an extra factor of two in your calculation. Yes, there are two starting pitchers in each game, but there are not 162*30 games each year since each team plays another team in every game. There are 162*15=2430 regular season games every year, so there are 4860 starts each year for pitchers.

Going back historically, MLB only expanded to 30 teams relatively recently. As late as 1960 there were only 16 MLB teams.

Here is a good link that shows that there were 182,000 MLB games between 1900 and June 2012 (so 364,000 MLB starts). With 20 perfect games, that gave them odds of a pitcher throwing a perfect game of 1/18,192.

(In response to this post by halesvb11)

Link: link


Posted: 01/17/2017 at 12:27PM



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Current Thread:
  Hate to brag, but... -- EDGEMAN 01/17/2017 3:27PM
  Perfect lifetime free-throw shooter -> -- `lag 01/17/2017 11:31AM
  Me too. Summer league game. Missed every shot. ** -- Hokie CPA 01/17/2017 11:34AM
  Everyone is perfect in their own way ** -- `lag 01/17/2017 11:55AM
  Do you mean sub-60? ** -- 48zip 01/17/2017 10:12AM
  Yes, sub 60. I changed it -- halesvb11 01/17/2017 10:19AM
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  I would say perfect game because there is more potential -- 133743Hokie 01/17/2017 09:51AM

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